Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1446.982929 1684.341888 1961.974827 2314.181757 2754.115967 3292.302404 4.011238e+03
2024-12-15 1105.930164 1394.461038 1770.861525 2311.003822 3089.273489 4209.118787 6.021649e+03
2024-12-22 919.011650 1213.403555 1622.972960 2257.191899 3259.972094 4874.122065 7.888911e+03
2024-12-29 815.196327 1117.749834 1561.846964 2296.064452 3557.468107 5812.979863 1.067369e+04
2025-01-05 710.896008 1001.326460 1444.444136 2213.451006 3621.234764 6358.353205 1.301473e+04
2025-01-12 633.552475 913.005554 1353.756402 2151.828123 3698.580208 6949.489199 1.585010e+04
2025-01-19 569.620568 836.707007 1269.908673 2083.434112 3741.180938 7480.464772 1.894436e+04
2025-01-26 546.131956 821.616980 1284.517017 2195.565652 4178.951713 9106.541639 2.691167e+04
2025-02-02 519.042330 796.870307 1278.062899 2264.743433 4544.147975 10742.039654 3.715283e+04
2025-02-09 495.805950 775.729828 1274.555729 2338.320129 4943.216453 12709.325808 5.238473e+04
2025-02-16 465.185697 738.331605 1235.779805 2329.383605 5133.983501 14152.900485 6.825286e+04
2025-02-23 448.391542 723.792921 1238.452094 2412.105654 5598.070963 16882.452509 1.014363e+05
2025-03-02 429.394599 705.695049 1236.522145 2496.416263 6141.274181 20596.677233 1.654213e+05
2025-03-09 404.061085 673.687764 1203.394010 2502.535891 6467.625069 23838.175358 2.561537e+05
2025-03-16 376.023940 633.628518 1148.168175 2441.572112 6554.440874 26057.095142 3.635545e+05
2025-03-23 359.448958 614.164826 1134.147003 2484.843244 7026.423907 31118.772868 6.651507e+05
2025-03-30 334.364026 575.671911 1074.241622 2393.246170 6971.193106 32918.963683 9.412884e+05
2025-04-06 313.430170 543.832357 1025.757233 2325.013829 6986.392255 35357.782277 1.441699e+06
2025-04-13 293.933865 513.435616 977.482769 2249.353553 6948.475569 37469.123916 2.214668e+06
2025-04-20 289.150451 512.667647 996.605760 2373.437894 7817.341193 49193.658325 9.507901e+06
2025-04-27 281.529311 505.306088 999.454808 2450.091838 8531.321362 61933.651284 7.365860e+07
2025-05-04 274.570363 498.729456 1003.381273 2531.703513 9331.992451 79180.335523 6.363356e+10
2025-05-11 263.253941 481.910792 980.454484 2521.786543 9662.546961 91726.650149 NaN